Unknowns abound but expect Eagles to cover vs Cowboys in regular-season finale

The Eagles and I continue a late-season surge as I move to 7-2 ATS picking the last 9 Eagles games. Overall, my free NFL picks have been hot as well and it seems like both of our roots have taken hold as we hit our late season bloom.

The Eagles are currently 7 point underdogs at home against the Dallas Cowboys and the total is sitting at 42 according to the latest odds at WynnBET. The game has been flexed to Saturday night, but the Eagles have little to play for as they’ve already clinched their Wildcard spot in the playoffs. The Cowboys have a small chance to get to the two seed, but they’d need The Bucs and The Rams to lose. Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy claims they’re playing their starters, but I’m skeptical that we will see them the entire game.

It being the holiday season, my Eagles-themed podcast The Diehard Eagles podcast is giving away an autographed Brian Dawkins helmet, it’s free to enter and we’re drawing a winner at the end of the season..

Key Defensive Matchup

It’s unclear what Eagles starters will be played on the defensive side, but, that being said, this Eagles team certainly has some mojo. I don’t think Dak Prescott will play the entire game and I think the Eagles’ ball-hawking defense will be able to feast on Cooper Rush. The Philadelphia Eagles likely won’t have to deal with stopping Zeke Elliott, who is nursing a knee injury and will likely sit.

Key Offensive Matchup

On Saturday night, expect a heavy dose of Gardner Minshew, who really looked sharp in his one start against the New York Jets earlier. In addition, the Dallas Cowboys will likely be without their defensive stud, Micah Parsons, who was just placed on the Covid-19 list. The Eagles have some depth at tight end, which is why they felt comfortable moving on from Zach Ertz.  So, this could be a breakout game for former QB turned tight end Tyree Jackson, who likely has some chemistry with Minshew.

The Pick

There’s nothing more frustrating than when a coach refuses to play a hot hand, and by that logic, I’d be a fool to fade this Eagles team right now. I don’t expect it to be pretty, but I think the Eagles eke out a 21-20 victory over the Dallas Cowboys to even the season series. Gardner Minshew is a highly motivated QB and the best bet on the props board may be his over in passing yards, once that number is posted.

Sean Green is the co-host of The Sports Gambling Podcast, tune in to hear free picks for all the NFL games against the spread, college football, fantasy football, and more! Follow The Sports Gambling Podcast on Twitter @GamblingPodcast.