If I’ve learned anything from this year making NFL picks, it’s that, when in doubt, go with the ‘dog. It worked for me on January 30, when I hit on both the AFC and NFC Championship Games in this space. My moneyline underdog picks alone are up 14.3 units this season and when it comes to the pick for the Super Bowl I’m going for one final upset to cap off the 2021 season.
On a side note, we’re giving away a FREE SHOT AT $100,000 on our SGPN App for anyone who can go 10-0 on our Super Bowl props.
Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) vs Los Angeles Rams
Underdogs of (+3.5) or more are 10-2 against the spread in Super Bowls since 2000 and the Bengals are certainly a fun underdog. If you consider only the stats, the Rams would be the play, but this Bengals group certainly seems like a team of destiny, as exhibited in their 18-point comeback against the Chiefs in Kansas City.
The Bengals may be outmatched on the offensive line, but Joe Burrow can take a ton of sacks and still get the win, as he did against the Titans. Ultimately, the biggest advantage the Bengals have is at the QB spot. Burrow has the poise, confidence, and cool to get the job done on the biggest stage. The pressure is on Rams QB Matthew Stafford and that pressure is going to lead to some costly turnovers. Take Bengals plus the points and enjoy the game.
Super Bowl Prop Bets
First Kickoff Not To Be A Touchback (+140)
In the last 28 Super Bowls, the first kickoff has only been a touchback twice! Factor that trend in with the returner’s desire to have an impact on the game and this is easy money.
Cam Akers UNDER 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Cam Akers’ two fumbles in the game against Tampa Bay have to weigh on the mind of Rams Head Coach Sean McVay. His latest game logs have him rushing for 55, 48, and 48 yards, as it seems the Rams continue to reduce his role and increase Sony Michel’s.
Rams To Call First Timeout (-115)
The Rams have called the first timeout in the game for the last 9 games in a row. Sean McVay has a quick trigger on the timeout, so look for this trend to continue in the big game.
Sean Green is the co-host of The Sports Gambling Podcast, tune in to hear free picks for all the NFL games against the spread, college football, fantasy football, and more! Follow The Sports Gambling Podcast on Twitter @GamblingPodcast.
Photo: SGPN co-founder Sean Green (right) and former Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Bill Romanowski share a moment at Super Bowl XVI Radio Row Wednesday in Los Angeles. Photo credit: SGPN