Eagles in another squeaker and the over is the Week 10 pick from SGPN’s Sean Green

Last week, I predicted a close game between the Chargers and the Eagles and it came down to a last-second FG.  However, the two points didn’t end up being enough. The Chargers converting on a two-point try earlier in the game ended up being the difference in the game. There are no moral victories in the NFL although there were some promising signs from the Eagles offense, including a commitment to the run game and an outstanding effort from rookie WR DeVonta Smith, who pulled in 5 catches for 116 yards and a TD.

The (3-6) Philadelphia Eagles now head to Denver to square off against the (5-4) Broncos and Denver is favored by 2.5 points with a total of 45.5, according to WynnBET. Denver is coming off a massive upset victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Dallas where they were almost a 10-point underdog.

Key Defensive Matchup

The biggest complaint among current Eagles fans is how far back the CBs play in the Jonathan Gannon scheme.  This soft coverage has allowed five different QBs to complete over 80% against the Eagles. If the Eagles are going to win this game the CBs and defense will need to play more aggressively and pressure the QB. Last week, the Eagles DL registered no sacks and no QB hits.

Key Offensive Matchup

The Denver Broncos are dealing with a number of injuries at the LB position and along the DL. Couple that with the recent departure of All-Pro Von Miller and the Broncos seem to be vulnerable to an attack against the middle of the defense. Look for Eagles RB Jordan Howard to continue to have a big role in the offense as the Eagles pound the rock and establish tempo against the Broncos.

The Pick

I missed with the Eagles pick last week, however did well overall with my NFL picks on www.SportsGamblingPodcast.com, thanks to a Titans moneyline play that really carried the week. The Denver Broncos really seemed to get up for their first game without Von Miller and now face a massive letdown spot at home against the Eagles. Both defenses have their issues, so I think the total is way too low even at 45.5. Additionally, I think the Eagles will be able to control the ball and turn Teddy Bridgewater over, resulting in an Eagles win even as a 2.5 point dog.

Sean Green is the co-host of The Sports Gambling Podcast, tune in to hear free picks for all the NFL games against the spread, college football, fantasy football and more! Follow The Sports Gambling Podcast on Twitter @GamblingPodcast.